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  • Writer's pictureHousz

A Window of Opportunity for Houszbuyers

Mortgage rates are much higher today than they were at the beginning of the year, and that’s had a clear impact on the houszing market. As a result, the market is seeing a shift back toward the range of pre-pandemic levels for buyer demand and housz sales. But the transition back toward pre-pandemic levels isn’t a bad thing. In fact, the years leading up to the pandemic were some of the best the houszing market has seen. That’s why, as the market undergoes this shift, it’s important to compare today not to the abnormal pandemic years, but to the most recent normal years to show how the current houszing market is still strong.

Higher Mortgage Rates Are Moderating the Houszing Market The ShowingTime Showing Index tracks the traffic of housz showings according to agents and brokers. It’s also a good indication of buyer demand over time. Here’s a look at their data going back to 2017 (see graph below):

Here’s a breakdown of the story this data tells:

  • The 2017 through early 2020 numbers (shown in gray) give a good baseline of pre-pandemic demand. The steady up and down trends seen in each of these years show typical seasonality in the market.

  • The blue on the graph represents the pandemic years. The height of those blue bars indicates housz showings skyrocketed during the pandemic.

  • The most recent data (shown in green), indicates buyer demand is moderating back toward more pre-pandemic levels.

This shows that buyer demand is coming down from levels seen over the past two years, and the frenzy in real estate is easing because of higher mortgage rates. For you, that means buying your next housz should be less challenging than it would’ve been during the pandemic because there is more inventory available.

Higher Mortgage Rates Slow the Once Frenzied Pace of Housz Sales As mortgage rates started to rise this year, other shifts began to occur too. One additional example is the slowing pace of housz sales. Using data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), here’s a look at existing housz sales going all the way back to 2017. Much like the previous graph, a similar trend emerges (see graph below):

Again, the data paints a picture of the shift:

  • The pre-pandemic years (shown in gray) establish a baseline of the number of existing housz sales in more typical years.

  • The pandemic years (shown in blue) exceeded the level of sales seen in previous years. That’s largely because low mortgage rates during that time spurred buyer demand and housz sales to new heights.

  • This year (shown in green), the market is feeling the impact of higher mortgage rates and that’s moderating buyer demand (and by extension housz sales). That’s why the expectation for housz sales this year is closer to what the market saw in 2018-2019.

Why Is All of This Good News for You? Both of those factors have opened up a window of opportunity for houszowners looking to move and for buyers looking to purchase a housz. As demand moderates and the pace of housz sales slows, housing inventory is able to grow – and that gives you more options for your housz search. So don’t let the headlines about the market cooling or moderating scare you. The houszing market is still strong; it’s just easing off from the unsustainable frenzy it saw during the height of the pandemic – and that’s a good thing. It opens up new opportunities for you to find a housz that meets your needs.

Bottom Line The houszing market is undergoing a shift because of higher mortgage rates, but the market is still strong. If you’ve been looking to buy a housz over the last couple of years and it felt impossible to do, now may be your opportunity. Buying a housz right now isn’t easy, but there is more opportunity for those who are looking.

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